000 WTPZ31 KNHC 310533 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Agatha Intermediate Advisory Number 13A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022 100 AM CDT Tue May 31 2022 ...AGATHA'S HEAVY RAINS SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD FROM OAXACA INTO VERACRUZ, CHIAPAS, AND TABASCO STATES... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 95.8W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM WNW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Puerto Escondido eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Agatha was located inland over southern Mexico near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 95.8 West. Agatha is moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will continue to move farther inland over Oaxaca this morning. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is expected, and Agatha is forecast to dissipate over southern Mexico by this afternoon. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue in the warning areas through this morning. RAINFALL: Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico through tonight. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected: Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. Mexican states of Veracruz, Tabasco and eastern portions of Guerrero: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. SURF: Large swells generated by Agatha will affect the coast of southern Mexico through today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg