Tropical Storm Calvin Forecast Advisory



352 
WTPZ23 KNHC 130849 CCA
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032023
0900 UTC THU JUL 13 2023

CORRECTED 12 FT SEAS RADII 

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 116.0W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 116.0W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 115.5W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 12.7N 118.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 13.2N 121.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 13.8N 123.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.4N 126.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.0N 129.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.7N 132.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 16.8N 138.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 17.7N 145.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 116.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





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