Tropical Storm Alex Public Advisory



609 
WTNT31 KNHC 060549
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Alex Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012022
200 AM AST Mon Jun 06 2022

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAVE BEGUN ON BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.9N 68.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Alex was 
located near latitude 32.9 North, longitude 68.1 West. Alex is 
moving toward the east-northeast near 28 mph (44 km/h). A fast 
motion toward the east-northeast is expected through tonight. On the 
forecast track, the center of the tropical storm is expected to pass 
near or just north of Bermuda later today.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Alex is forecast to begin weakening later today, and the 
system is expected to become an extratropical low by tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) 
from the center. Recently, an elevated station in Bermuda reported a 
sustained wind of 44 mph (70 km/h) gusting to 54 mph (87 km/h).

The latest minimum central pressure based on reconnaissance aircraft 
data is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Alex can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41
KNHC, and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?key_messages.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions should continue on Bermuda through 
this afternoon. 

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Alex is expected to bring 1 to 2 inches or 
25 to 50 mm of rain across Bermuda through this afternoon.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Blake




Source link

Tropical Storm Agatha Public Advisory



000
WTPZ31 KNHC 310533
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Agatha Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012022
100 AM CDT Tue May 31 2022

...AGATHA'S HEAVY RAINS SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD FROM OAXACA INTO 
VERACRUZ, CHIAPAS, AND TABASCO STATES... 


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 95.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM WNW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Escondido eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Agatha was
located inland over southern Mexico near latitude 16.5 North, 
longitude 95.8 West.  Agatha is moving toward the northeast near 8 
mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue 
today.  On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will continue to 
move farther inland over Oaxaca this morning.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Further weakening is expected, and Agatha is
forecast to dissipate over southern Mexico by this afternoon.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue in the
warning areas through this morning.

RAINFALL: Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern
Mexico through tonight. The following rainfall amounts are
currently expected:

Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.

Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.

Mexican states of Veracruz, Tabasco and eastern portions of
Guerrero: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches
possible.

SURF:  Large swells generated by Agatha will affect the coast of
southern Mexico through today.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



Source link